AAP owes it to the young and poor – The Hindu, February 13, 2015
In every age
group, AAP’s vote share was significantly higher than that of BJP
The sheer scale of the
Aam Aadmi Party’s sweep – winning 67 out of 70 seats and over half of all the
votes – would indicate that the party won the support of all segments of Delhi
society.
Aam Aadmi Party’s sweep – winning 67 out of 70 seats and over half of all the
votes – would indicate that the party won the support of all segments of Delhi
society.
While this is true, the
party’s support base leaned on slightly younger, poorer voters and those from
more marginalised backgrounds, according to a post-poll survey by Lokniti at
the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies.
party’s support base leaned on slightly younger, poorer voters and those from
more marginalised backgrounds, according to a post-poll survey by Lokniti at
the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies.
The survey was conducted
soon after voting ended on February 7, among 2,060 respondents in 120 locations
across 24 Assembly constituencies in the city; the sample’s demographic profile
closely resembled that of the city, and the declared vote preference of the
sample matched the ultimate actual vote share, the survey said.
soon after voting ended on February 7, among 2,060 respondents in 120 locations
across 24 Assembly constituencies in the city; the sample’s demographic profile
closely resembled that of the city, and the declared vote preference of the
sample matched the ultimate actual vote share, the survey said.
The researchers found
that the AAP’s vote share was the highest among Delhi’s youngest voters – aged
18 to 22 – rising even further among young Dalit voters. The party’s vote share
then gradually declines by age, falling to 45 per cent among those aged 56 and
above.
that the AAP’s vote share was the highest among Delhi’s youngest voters – aged
18 to 22 – rising even further among young Dalit voters. The party’s vote share
then gradually declines by age, falling to 45 per cent among those aged 56 and
above.
In every age group,
however, the AAP’s vote share was significantly higher than that of the BJP,
and even at its narrowest (among the oldest voters), it had a lead of nine
percentage points over the BJP. Women and men voted in virtually the same way.
however, the AAP’s vote share was significantly higher than that of the BJP,
and even at its narrowest (among the oldest voters), it had a lead of nine
percentage points over the BJP. Women and men voted in virtually the same way.
Among the various social
groups analysed by Lokniti, the AAP’s vote share was highest among Muslims and
Dalits, 77 per cent and 68 per cent respectively. In the case of Muslims in
particular, the growth in the AAP’s popularity has been remarkable, going from
12 per cent in 2013 to 77 per cent in 2015. Relatively, its popularity was
lowest among upper castes; Brahmins, Vaishyas/Jains and Jats were the only
caste groups among whom the BJP had a higher vote share than the AAP.
groups analysed by Lokniti, the AAP’s vote share was highest among Muslims and
Dalits, 77 per cent and 68 per cent respectively. In the case of Muslims in
particular, the growth in the AAP’s popularity has been remarkable, going from
12 per cent in 2013 to 77 per cent in 2015. Relatively, its popularity was
lowest among upper castes; Brahmins, Vaishyas/Jains and Jats were the only
caste groups among whom the BJP had a higher vote share than the AAP.
“Muslims have the same
needs as everyone else. They are also concerned about electricity and water,
about rising prices,” Amanatullah Khan, AAP’s new MLA from Okhla, told The Hindu.
needs as everyone else. They are also concerned about electricity and water,
about rising prices,” Amanatullah Khan, AAP’s new MLA from Okhla, told The Hindu.
“The Congress only made
promises, so the Muslim community’s faith in it disappeared. But while the
community usually votes to defeat the BJP, in this election, it voted to ensure
the AAP’s victory,” he said.
promises, so the Muslim community’s faith in it disappeared. But while the
community usually votes to defeat the BJP, in this election, it voted to ensure
the AAP’s victory,” he said.
The AAP’s support was
highest among the poorest voters surveyed by Lokniti, and lowest among the
richest, whose preferences were split between the BJP and the AAP.
highest among the poorest voters surveyed by Lokniti, and lowest among the
richest, whose preferences were split between the BJP and the AAP.
One important reversal
in fortunes is the shift of the peak of AAP’s popularity from those with the
highest media exposure (2013) to those with the lowest; this, they said,
indicated that the traditional Congress vote had shifted to the AAP.
in fortunes is the shift of the peak of AAP’s popularity from those with the
highest media exposure (2013) to those with the lowest; this, they said,
indicated that the traditional Congress vote had shifted to the AAP.
MY TAKE on this REPORT in THE HINDU dated February 13, 2015
By and LARGE , AAP has swept all classes ,
castes and religious groups this time
and that's the REASON for its combined
TSUNAMI + EARTHQUAKE effect that
it was able to generate to simultaneously DECIMATE both the National
Parties, one (Congress) more than the other(BJP)!
castes and religious groups this time
and that's the REASON for its combined
TSUNAMI + EARTHQUAKE effect that
it was able to generate to simultaneously DECIMATE both the National
Parties, one (Congress) more than the other(BJP)!
TSUNAMI + EARTHQUAKE by AAP across the
board 2 get HISTORIC VERDICT !
board 2 get HISTORIC VERDICT !
AAP owes it to the young and poor - The Hindu
http://www.thehindu.com/elections/delhi2015/article6888673.ece
http://www.thehindu.com/elections/delhi2015/article6888673.ece
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